Probabilistic Forecast for the Temperature during August 2026 During August 2026, the monthly average maximum temperatures are expected to remain above normal over most parts of the country. However, some areas of Northwest and Central India, along with isolated regions of the adjoining Southern Peninsula, are likely to experience normal to below-normal monthly average maximum temperatures during the month. The monthly average minimum temperatures during August 2026 are expected to remain normal to above normal over most parts of the country Sea Surface Temperature (SST) Moderate El Niño conditions currently prevail over the equatorial Pacific Ocean, with sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies remaining above normal across the central and eastern equatorial Pacific. These conditions are expected to strengthen further during the Southwest Monsoon season. Forecasts from the Monsoon Mission Coupled Forecast System (MMCFS) also indicate a continued strengthening of El Niño conditions throughout the remaining period of Southwest Monsoon season. Probabilistic Forecast for the Rainfall during August 2026 During August 2026, rainfall over the country is likely to be below normal (less than 94% of the Long Period Average (LPA)). The LPA of the rainfall over the country as a whole during August, based on data of 1971-2020 is 254.9 mm. Below-normal rainfall is very likely over many parts of the country except many areas of Eastern Peninsular India, some areas of Northwest and Central India and isolated areas of East and Northeast India where normal to above-normal rainfall is likely. Source : IMD